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样例:2006年上半年我国农产品进出口形势分析

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ill be slow in the second half of 2006.

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   According to the report from “WTO/TBT-SPS Notification and Enquiry of China”, China’s total import and export of agricultural products ran smoothly in the first half of 2006.The export grew slower, while the import grew faster. The growth rate of import was higher than that of export, resulting in the expanding of deficit scale. The import and export of the first half of 2006 were 30.29 billion US dollars with an increase of 15.6% on a year-on-year basis, in which the export was 14.07 billion US dollars with an increase of 9.3% (22.5% in the same period in 2005), while the import was 16.22 billion US dollars with an increase of 21.6% on a year-on-year basis. The deficit was 2.15 billion US dollars and exceeded the total scale of 2005.

  1. Main features of the export of agricultural products in the first half of 2006

   1.1 Seen from the structure of products

  In the first half of 2006, China’s exports of horticultural and marine products maintained a rapid growth. The export of horticultural products was 3.99 billion US dollars with an increase of 17.7% on a year-on-year basis; the export of marine products was 3.89 billion US dollars with an increase of 13.1% on a year-on-year basis; the export of livestock products grew slowly, with a total of 1.73 billion US dollars and an increase of 4.8% on a year-on-year basis; the grain export was 560 million US dollars and reduced by 29.5%.

  1.2 Seen from the main export markets Exports to European Union, ASEAN and United States grew rapidly with the increase rate of 17.9%, 29.6% and 31.1% respectively; exports to Japan, Hong Kong and South Korea grew slowly which increased by 0.2%, decreased by 1.5% and 7% respectively.

  1.3 Seen from the export regions

   The exports of the top five provinces including Shangdong accounted for 54% of the total export, in which the export of Shangdong was 3.59 billion US dollars with an increase of 14%; the export of Guangdong was 1.68 billion US dollars with an increase of 9.4%; the export of Zhejiang was 1.3 billion US dollars with an increase of 6.2%; the export of Fujian was 1.15 billion dollars with an increase of 11%; the export of Liaoning was 1.07 billion US dollars with an increase of 12.8%. ……

  4. Main reasons for rapid growth of agricultural imports

  4.1. Stimulated by domestic demands;

  4.2. Agricultural imports in the same period of 2005 had a lower base;

  4.3. The international prices of part of agricultural products were low and the import price difference was comparatively large.

  5. The late exports were in severe situation and the demand for imports will decline;it was expected that both the increase of annual imports and exports would be slow.

  Japan’s “positive list system” will be an important factor that affects China’s agricultural exports in the second half of 2006. It is suggested that export enterprises should enhance their own bases and self-inspection construction and respond foreign technical barriers positively. The increase of agricultural exports is expected to continue to slow down.

  According to the forecast, China’s grain, sugar, and other major agricultural products will have a higher yield in 2006 and the domestic supply will increase, as a result, the gap between production and demand will narrow and the import demand will be weakened. Because of the high prices of energy and the adjustment on part of agricultural export subsidies by developed countries, the supply and demand of agricultural products in the international market and the prices will also be affected. It is expected that the growth of agricultural imports will be slow in the second half of 2006.

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